Nifty Strategy June 27- July 1st

We had predicted a trend change on the 24th of June 2 days before it actually happened. The market had closed with a bullish engulfing pattern on thursday followed by a 150 points shootup in Nifty.

This week the markets should react to a hike in diesel and LPG prices, the Greek debt concerns and US economic data. Taking the high of 5605 and low of 5195 the markets retraced back 23.6% and within another 3 trading sessions the market has covered and moved up to the 61.8% mark.

Option traders may assume short positions at 5520 levels for targets of 5430 -5350 and 5280.
Overall we are ot recommending any buying in this market. One should wait for the markets to come down to decent levels before initiating any fresh  position.

Intraday call for monday markets may rally to higher levels - buy @ 5440 for targets for 5510-20
buy put options in case markets reach or touch higher levels of 5520-40 

NIFTY's Broken Shoulder :(

The closing today formed a complete head and shoulder pattern for Nifty. The Neckline (5350) was broken rather pretty quick. We see the next level of support at 5177 levels and after that nifty has support at 4800 levels.
The Neckline which was a Support shall  now play the role of Resistance.
The head and shoulder pattern does give an initial bounce back towards its neckline, so a short term target of 5340-60 can be expected from lower levels.